At Your Current Pace, Will You Ever Hit Your Number?
Most affiliate owners have a revenue goal. Very few have done the math to know
how long it will actually take to get there — or whether their current
trajectory even makes it possible.
This diagnostic takes your real numbers — members, revenue, expenses, growth,
attrition — and projects exactly how many months it will take to reach your
Critical Number. No guessing. No hoping. Just math.
Fair warning: Most owners don't love what they see the first time.
That discomfort is the point. You can't fix what you won't face.
Step 1 of 5
The Basics
Let's start with who you are and where you're at right now.
Your results will be sent here.
Step 2 of 5
Revenue Reality
Let's establish your current revenue picture and what each member is actually worth.
How do you want to calculate your ACV (Average Client Value)?
I know my total revenue
I know my ACV
Recurring membership revenue only — not retail, drop-ins, or specialty.
Calculated ACV (Monthly)
$—
Total Revenue ÷ Active Members
What each member pays you per month on average.
Step 3 of 5
What It Costs You
Enter your approximate monthly expenses. Don't overthink it — ballpark is fine.
We'll model how these grow as your revenue grows.
This scales ~10% as membership grows. We'll model that.
Be honest. If it's $0, type 0. If it's "whatever's left over," estimate what that actually is. This number matters more than you think.
Step 4 of 5
Growth & Attrition
This is where most owners get honest with themselves for the first time.
What's actually happening — not what you wish was happening.
Over the last 3–6 months
Including freezes that never come back
Net Monthly Growth
— members/mo
Now, Build Your Real Number
Most owners pick a revenue goal out of thin air. Or worse — they pick one that still doesn't pay them what they're worth.
Let's build it from the ground up so nothing gets left out.
Here's how to think about this: Start with your current expenses.
Add a 10% buffer because costs always creep up — payroll, insurance, equipment, all of it.
Then add what you actually need to take home to make this worth it.
Then add anything else — debt paydown, savings, reinvestment.
That total? That's your real target. Not a dream number. A need number.
Pulled from what you entered. Adjust if needed.
Costs grow. Equipment breaks. Insurance goes up. This keeps you from operating on the edge.
Not what you're currently paying yourself. What you need — mortgage, family, savings, the life you're building this for. If you put $0 here, you're telling me the gym matters more than you do.
Loan payments, equipment fund, expansion savings — anything else you need the business to cover.
Your Target Monthly Revenue
$—
Expenses + Buffer + Take-Home + Other
Your Critical Number (Target Members)
—
Target Revenue ÷ Your ACV
Your Critical Number Report
Here's Where You Stand
Current Members
—
Current Monthly Revenue
—
Monthly Expenses
—
Monthly Net (Before You)
—
Your Current Take-Home
—
What's Left After You
—
Net minus your take-home
Your Critical Number
—
Members To Close The Gap
—
Estimated Time To Reach Your Critical Number
—
MONTHS
Net Growth Rate
—
Attrition Rate
—
Month-by-Month Projection
Membership trajectory toward your Critical Number
Projected Members
Critical Number
Revenue at Critical Number
—
Est. Expenses at Critical Number
—
Includes projected payroll growth
Projected Net at Critical Number
—
What If You Changed Something?
Drag the sliders to model different scenarios. Watch how small changes compound over time.
New Members / Month—
Cancellations / Month—
Average Client Value—
Current Trajectory
TTR—
Net Growth—
Goal Revenue—
Goal Net—
Your Scenario
TTR—
Net Growth—
Goal Revenue—
Goal Net—
Scenario Comparison
Current trajectory vs. your modeled scenario
Current
Scenario
Critical Number
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The Math Doesn't Lie. The Question Is What You Do Next.
If your timeline surprised you — or worse, if it says you'll never get there —
that's not a death sentence. It's a diagnosis. And a diagnosis is the first step
toward a prescription that actually works.